Will Prime Day Be A Good Day For Amazon Stock?

What is Prime Day?

Amazon started Prime Day in 2015.  It is typically a one day special event of deals and discounts on just about everything available to amazon prime members. This year, It will be held July 11th.

However, as it is with most special commercial celebrations, and yes – Prime Day was started to celebrate the anniversary of Amazon, this year Amazon Prime Day starts at 6pm the day before, July 10th.

Of course the real reason for Prime Day is to generate more Prime memberships, to build a base of consistently returning customers and, therefore, reoccurring revenue. Amazon is even expanding their event to more international customers to the count of 13 countries around the world.
Many consumers will use this day to test Amazon’s Prime service, and many of those customers will remain Prime members once their trial membership is done.

Studies have shown that Prime customers spend more than twice what nonmembers do, so it’s no wonder Amazon is trying to spread the Prime love as much as it can.

I’m sure Jeff Bezos would say it is a “Win + Win” deal.

How popular is it really?

Amazon doesn’t disclose precise numbers, but some analysts estimate that Prime Day 2016 may have generated $525 million in sales for Amazon, up 26 percent from Amazon’s projected sales of $415 million in 2015.

According to Amazon, the company sold more than 90,000 TVs, over 1 million pairs of shoes, 200,000+ headphones, 23,000+ iRobot Roombas, and more than 14,000 Lenovo laptops on Prime Day alone. That beats the number of sales the retailer generated on Black Friday, which for most retailers is considered to be the biggest shopping day of the year.

How easy is it to find deals, shop and buy?

This year, with the added global access and even greater push for trial access to Prime, the Amazon App (which is always free) and Amazon gadgets (Echo – Echo Dot w/Alexa, Kindle, Audible, Dash, etc) there promises to be yet more Prime Day records broken. Amazon will be running specials not only online but through their mobile channels (Echo, Kindle, Audible) with specific deals targeted for users of these devices.

How easy is it? Just ask Jeff Bezos . . .

Just kidding, but it is getting easier and easier to purchase not only what you need for day to day living but for all those impulsive moments as well.

The power of ecommerce has even forced the worlds largest sport and leisure shoe manufacturer, NIKE, to re-think their strategy and start selling directly to consumers thru Amazon and Instagram. It’s an online world and most consumers have mobile devices which they care with them for instant online access.

Mobile ecommerce only makes sense.

I wonder if NIKE will be “online” in time for Prime Day? As of this writing (July 4th) I did not see their direct link listed on Amazon yet.

Are there Prime Day issues?

Yes, with this popularity there have been issues with finding good deals on products you actually want as well as general supply and demand. There have been many instances of consumers complaining that many of the special deals are not always on things they want, or are of cheaper quality than they expect, and for the items they are searching for, difficult to find and then when they do find them the deal is either over or sold out.

This year Amazon is helping you out by suggesting to download their app from which you can look up the schedule of daily deals and place a watch on the ones you want. This way the app will alert you when the special is about to start.

You can even download an Amazon Assistant to your desktop to help you stay up to date on your wish lists and orders.

How does Amazon stock react to Prime Day?

This one is a bit more difficult to answer. For one, this is just the third year that Amazon has hosted Prime Day. And two data points, or data sets, does not a pattern make – other than a straight line.
However, in 2015 the stock price increased the week before and kept increasing the week after.

In 2016, the stock price increased the week before but then went down the following weeks.

So what will happen this year?

Lately tech stocks, including Amazon, have been beaten down by the market. Will Amazon’s stock price continue its downward trend or will prime day provide the opportunity for investors to look at Amazon stock as another online bargain and reverse the trend?

My personal opinion is that Amazon, as well as many other tech stocks, has a bit more to fall. There may be a few fake reversals but to date the stock is only down 5%. Hardly the correction needed to inspire investors to scoop up a bargain.

What are your thoughts?

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